Tuesday, 21 June 2011

Pound vs Euro lower as markets calmer on EU debt

Tuesday 21st June 2011
Good morning. Sterling has climbed against the US Dollar, but dropped against the Euro. Why? It's because a top EU policy maker has calmed fears about stability in the region, strengthening the Euro and weakening the US Dollar. We'll look at this in detail after the usual snapshot of rates as at 08:30am:


  • GBP/EUR 1.1304

  • GBP/USD 1.6231

  • GBP/AUD 1.5339

  • GBP/NZD 1.9929

  • GBP/CAD 1.5847

  • GBP/CHF 1.3677

  • GBP/ZAR 10.950

  • GBP/JPY 130.11

  • GBP/DKK 8.4302

  • GBP/NOK 8.9616

  • EUR/USD 1.4357

EU debt fears calmed and Euro strengthens


Yesterday Eurogroup chairman Jean-Claude Junker made comments that have calmed the markets meaning countries such as Ireland and Portugal can re-enter the markets. The comments were made in a meeting where finance ministers are discussing the bailout funds for countries such as Greece.


So what have the analysts said may be the effect on GBP/EUR rates? "The market overreacted this morning to news of the euro zone finance ministers' meeting. There are some headlines coming out now on the ESM and reports of the European Financial Stability Fund expansion," said Jane Foley, senior currency strategist at Rabobank.

"On the assumption that we get further reasonable news from the finance ministers and assuming the euro remains reasonably well supported above last Thursday's close at €1.1370, we will be heading back towards €1.1100."

It's the weakness in the Euro that has caused higher GBP/EUR rates of late, and if there are more positive comments regards the Euro then the exchange rate is likely to drop further.

UK Data today could also push GBP/EUR lower

There are concerns over the health of the UK economy, after lots of poor economic data points to slowing growth. Today we have Public Sector borrowing figures which are widely expected to add to the gloom over the budget deficit.

Summary for those needing to buy Euros

It's really the fact that the Euro and Sterling are both very weak currencies at the moment, and it's a tug of war on which can perform worst. Recently it's been the Greek debt that has taken centre stage, but with markets now calmer and more poor UK data expected, we think that GBP/EUR will remain under pressure and head back towards €1.10.

If you need to buy Euros and are worried about the rates falling, click below to send us a free enquiry on our exchange rates, and the tools we have to make sure you don't lose out if rates fall, even if you don't need your currency for many months.