Thursday, 3 September 2015

Pound/Euro rises on ECB comments

Thursday 3rd September 2015
After falling 9 cents in the last month, Sterling/Euro rates have staged a slight recovery today, pushing back above €1.37 as you can see from the chart below: 



ECB cuts inflation and growth forecasts 

The reason for the rise in rates wasn’t anything to do with the Pound, but rather the Euro weakening and becoming cheaper to buy. This was because the European Central Bank (ECB) has cut its inflation and growth forecasts for the next few years. 

They said that inflation in the Eurozone would probably be very low indeed for years to come and in turn this means that economic growth is unlikely to increase as much as had been thought. The banks president Mario Draghi said it expected inflation to be 0.1% for 2015, rising to 1.5% in 2016 and 1.7% in 2017, dampened by lower energy prices. They also hinted that further Quantitative Easing (QE) may be requried to shore up the economy. QE effectively creates new money to pump into an economy and usually weakens a currency as more of it is in circulation. 

The Euro dropped like a stone on these comments and because all of this means that the EU recovery is not quite as on track as analysts and investors had thought, the result has been a sell-off in the single currency, causing it to weaken and push exchange rates back up to €1.37. 


Do you need to buy or sell Euros at the best rate? 

A typical purchase of €250,000 to buy a property abroad has differed in cost by over £11,500.00 in the last month alone, which really illustrates how important it is to get your timing right when fixing your rate of exchange. If you need to convert currency and would like to discuss the market and ways to protect you against market fluctuations, I am happy to speak to any potential clients that would like a quotation to compare what I can offer with their bank or existing currency broker. On average the rates I can provide are 2 to 3% better than available elsewhere which can mean huge savings when converting a large sum.